Posted 01/17/2015 at 08:06 AM
Before you BET it make sure you GET it.
What does that mean?
It simply means to be very selective and to find real value in whatever you are betting. I love Super Bowl Props. With so many options you simply need to do your homework, step up to the bet window, place your bet, and then after the game.........see the cashier.
Every year I will hand select on average three to five prop bets that present tremendous value. I remember it like it was yesterday when back in 1998 I bet Denver Broncos running back Terrell Davis O/U rushing yards at 73. I hammered the OVER. When they moved it to 74, I hammered it again. It moved to 76, I hammered it again. I last bet the OVER at 78 yards. It closed 83.
A good bet is a good bet is a good bet. Good bets lose. Don’t ask me how I know. The Broncos that year were a seven-point dog vs. the Green Bay Packers. Denver’s game plan was simply to establish the run with stud running back Terrell Davis and keep Brett Favre and the Packers on the sideline as much as possible. After the first quarter Davis and the Broncos were looking good and I was feeling good as he was on pace to shatter the OVER. Next thing I know coming out of a commercial break Davis was not in the game. Something about a migraine......
Are You Kidding Me?
Just my luck. He sat out the entire second quarter and was questionable for the second half. Not good. After halftime they announced he would at least try. He indeed shattered the over on his way to 157 rushing yards and three touchdowns even though he only played three quarters.
How do these sports books stay open?
I was buying drinks for everyone. When it comes to the Big Game often times the value is in doing some due diligence and dissecting match ups and what one team will try to do and with any luck it can play right into your hands ala wallet. Ring up the ringer. See the cashier.!